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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Almagro vs. CD Maipu
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Club Almagro vs. CD Maipu?

Volume:
$30,973

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 4:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,664
N/A
N/A
$8,908
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Club Almagro vs. CD Maipu)

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CD Maipu

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Maipu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,800
N/A
N/A
$3,098
Settled
No
kalshi

Almagro

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,111
N/A
N/A
$2,649
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Almagro

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Club Almagro and CD Maipu scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets exist for Almagro winning, Maipu winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on the core resolution criteria, including the 90-minute plus stoppage time timeframe, the prioritization of official data sources, and the handling of cancellations and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body (afa.com.ar) or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • Official match statistics are the primary resolution source; fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting) are used if official data is unavailable within 24 hours.
  • If the game is canceled without a make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the match, ideally within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, but potentially longer if official data is delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera Nacional game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Club Almagro and CD Maipu.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Almagro vs Maipu professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Almagro wins, the 'Almagro' market resolves to Yes. If Maipu wins, the 'Maipu' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs, incentivized by potential gains from accurate forecasts. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn’t yet reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks typically offer more markets and higher liquidity, making them preferable for some bettors. This market offers a unique perspective on the potential outcome.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading fees, and market-specific rules. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to variations in how information is interpreted and priced into the market. Furthermore, liquidity can vary between the two platforms, impacting price discovery. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the Almagro vs. Maipu match.