TOTAL VOLUME:

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2,388,728,490

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400,720

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30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo?

Volume:
$1,637,978

Alianza Lima

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 20, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alianza Lima

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$598,653
N/A
N/A
$358,635
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Alianza Lima

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Huancayo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$549,556
N/A
N/A
$321,211
Settled
No
polymarket

CS Huancayo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$369,587
N/A
N/A
$217,381
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Peru Liga 1 soccer match between Club Alianza Lima and CS Huancayo. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the aggregated consensus shows a 92.0% probability that Alianza Lima wins, with a 7.5% probability of a draw. Resolution will be determined by the official Liga 1 Peru website. Watch for the match kickoff on July 19, 2026, which will determine the final settlement of all outcome markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses three independent binary markets with asymmetric cancellation rules, while Kalshi uses a single three-outcome market with no explicit cancellation clause. The draw market on Polymarket resolves Yes on cancellation, but Kalshi's equivalent outcome is undefined in a cancellation scenario.Hero tip: These are fundamentally different market structures, not equivalent instruments. On Polymarket, the draw market is a hedge against cancellation (resolves Yes). On Kalshi, cancellation behavior is unspecified. Do not assume they will settle identically. Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets. Alianza Lima win market: resolves Yes if Alianza wins, No otherwise or if canceled. Draw market: resolves Yes if draw, Yes if canceled with no makeup, No otherwise. Huancayo win market: resolves Yes if Huancayo wins, No otherwise or if canceled. Resolution source: official Liga 1 statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw only); 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
  • Kalshi: Single three-outcome market: resolves Yes for any of three outcomes (Alianza Lima win, Huancayo win, or Tie) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or alternative resolution clause provided. Key quote: 'If Alianza Lima wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Huancayo wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Sunday, July 19, 2026 between Club Alianza Lima and CS Huancayo.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Alianza Lima vs Huancayo professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game originally scheduled for July 19, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—Alianza Lima win, Huancayo win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Alianza Lima vs. Huancayo match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading venues for sports event forecasting. Traders on both platforms are pricing the likelihood of each possible outcome in real time. The cross-platform view lets you compare how consensus odds shift as new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—before the match kicks off. By tracking volume and price movement together, you can spot where smart money is flowing and identify potential value relative to traditional sportsbooks.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under different incentives. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover price. This often means prediction markets react faster to breaking news and reflect sharper, less-biased estimates of true probability. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster liquidity on major events. Comparing the two reveals arbitrage opportunities and helps you gauge whether this market's current pricing aligns with professional betting consensus.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different odds on the same event for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, regulatory environments, and fee structures, which influence how quickly prices adjust. One venue may have deeper liquidity in a particular outcome, allowing large trades to move the price less. Time-zone differences and platform-specific news feeds can also cause temporary divergences. These gaps typically narrow as arbitrageurs trade across both venues, but they create windows where savvy traders can exploit price discrepancies.