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Club Alianza Lima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes - Halftime Result
kalshi
polymarket

Club Alianza Lima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes - Halftime Result

Volume:
$189,963

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 6:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$69,190
N/A
N/A
$39,141
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Universitario de Deportes

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.6¢
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alianza Lima

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$66,627
N/A
N/A
$47,429
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Alianza Lima

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Juan Pablo II College

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,436
N/A
N/A
$36,045
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the halftime result of the September 12, 2026 soccer match between Club Alianza Lima and Club Universitario de Deportes, specifically whether the game will be a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw at halftime is 45.5%, while Club Alianza Lima leading at halftime has a 35.5% probability. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers, potentially supplemented by data from Flashscore or Sofascore. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on September 13, 2026, the estimated date of resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental mismatch in event definition between platforms: Kalshi resolves based on full-time result while Polymarket focuses exclusively on halftime resultHero tip: Do not treat these markets as correlated. Kalshi's market resolves based on final match outcome after full time, while Polymarket markets resolve based solely on halftime status. Arbitrage opportunities are false due to different underlying events.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three distinct markets each resolving based exclusively on halftime result: 'Club Alianza Lima leading at halftime?', 'Club Alianza Lima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: Draw at halftime?', and 'Club Universitario de Deportes leading at halftime?' with clear halftime-specific resolution criteria
  • Kalshi: Single market resolving to Yes if Juan Pablo II College wins, Alianza Lima wins, or match ties after 90 minutes plus stoppage time — explicitly states this refers to full-time result, not halftime, and involves a different opponent (Juan Pablo II College)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between Club Alianza Lima and Club Universitario de Deportes, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Juan Pablo II College wins, the 'Juan Pablo II College' market resolves to Yes. If Alianza Lima wins, the 'Alianza Lima' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Alianza Lima vs. Universitario halftime market aggregates predictions from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of each possible halftime result. It displays current probabilities, volume of $189,963, and 24-hour volume of $188,444 across platforms, offering a consensus view of market sentiment toward this matchup's interval outcome.

Prediction market odds on this market often reflect sharper, more granular insights than traditional sportsbook lines, because they are driven by continuous trading and can adjust rapidly to new information. While sportsbooks may offer a simplified spread or over/under, markets like this one let participants bet directly on the probability of specific outcomes, sometimes revealing mispricing or early shifts in sentiment not yet reflected in mainstream odds.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might see heavier betting from local fans, skewing its odds, while the other could be more influenced by global traders. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure and minimum tick sizes, which can also affect how prices move in response to trades.

Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or strategic changes by coaches can all shift expectations for halftime performance, moving this market. Additionally, early goal momentum during live play, crowd support, or any controversy that impacts team performance may cause rapid adjustments in trading activity and probabilities before the match concludes.