TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 2:16 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between Club Alianza Lima and Club Alianza Atlético, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club Alianza Lima vs. Club Alianza Atlético match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between Club Alianza Lima and Club Alianza Atlético, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club Alianza Lima vs. Club Alianza Atlético match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this matchup, prediction market prices may react faster to late-breaking team news, injury reports, or lineup changes than fixed sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in information that bookmakers have not yet incorporated, offering traders an edge in identifying value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost of each share fluctuates based on the ratio of buy and sell orders in the pool. As traders accumulate shares in a particular outcome—say a 2–1 result—the price of that outcome rises and others fall, creating a dynamic equilibrium. This continuous repricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and trader sentiment throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the Alianza Lima versus Atlético match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular play. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution is typically confirmed within hours of the final whistle, allowing rapid settlement and payout distribution to winning positions.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which can shift perceived offensive or defensive strength. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any roster changes in the days before kickoff often trigger sharp price movements. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence scoring expectations. Close to match time, late-breaking tactical news or manager statements can prompt rapid repricing. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or momentum swings will drive continuous updates to the odds for each exact score outcome.