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Club Alianza Atlético vs. CS Cienciano - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Club Alianza Atlético vs. CS Cienciano - First Team to Score

Volume:
$189,133

Over 2.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 5:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$62,121
N/A
N/A
$33,985
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$45,935
N/A
N/A
$19,305
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,298
N/A
N/A
$7,313
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,085
N/A
N/A
$2,150
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Alianza Atlético

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,960
N/A
N/A
$30,366
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,198
N/A
N/A
$4,881
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 6.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
$530
Settled
No
polymarket

CS Cienciano

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group concerns determining which team will score first in the upcoming match between Club Alianza Atlético and CS Cienciano, scheduled for August 6, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental divergence between first-to-score outcome market (Polymarket) and over/under total goals markets (Kalshi)Hero tip: Avoid cross-platform arbitrage between these markets as they resolve on entirely different criteria. Focus trading decisions on whether you believe Alianza Atlético will score first, CS Cienciano will score first, or neither team will score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time (Polymarket), versus your expectations for total goals scored (Kalshi).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First-to-score market with three possible outcomes (Alianza Atlético, CS Cienciano, Neither) resolving within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Uses official statistics from governing body or credible reporting consensus if official data unavailable within 2 hours post-match.
  • Kalshi: Multiple over/under total goals markets (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5) resolving to Yes if stated threshold is exceeded after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Binary Yes/No outcome per threshold.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Club Alianza Atlético and CS Cienciano, scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Alianza Atlético" if Club Alianza Atlético are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CS Cienciano" if CS Cienciano are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the total goals scored by both teams combined in the Alianza Atletico vs Los Chankas CYC Peru Liga 1 match on July 24, 2026, measured after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Each market outcome corresponds to a specific goal threshold: outcomes resolve to Yes if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals respectively. The final official score as recorded by the league governing body determines resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, the first goal scorer market dashboard aggregates real-time probabilities and volume data for this event. It shows how traders across venues price the likelihood of each team scoring first, along with total volume of $189,133. This offers a consensus view of market sentiment and helps identify shifts in expectations as the match approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a specific team. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure and minimum trade sizes, which can influence how traders place bets and, consequently, how probabilities are priced.