TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 8:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of maps played in an upcoming professional League of Legends match between two teams. The outcome depends on whether the match extends beyond a certain number of maps, reflecting the competitive balance and strategic depth of the game. It provides insight into how analysts and fans expect the match to unfold in terms of duration and intensity.
The event evaluates whether a specific League of Legends match between Cloud9 and LYON, scheduled for September 19, 2026, will exceed defined map thresholds. Two separate conditions are assessed: whether more than 3.5 maps are played, and whether more than 4.5 maps are played. Both conditions are evaluated against the actual match result, with resolution dependent on the total number of maps completed during the contest. The event operates independently of the governing league, and all trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade contracts here to reflect that belief, potentially leading to price divergence. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than traditional betting venues, as they are continuously updated by a large and diverse group of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the total number of maps played. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific map total occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders can consistently earn revenue by correctly anticipating the market's direction. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, offering a unique perspective on the likely outcome of the match.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of maps played in the Cloud9 versus LYON CS:GO match will be the determining factor. The official result, as reported by the event organizers and verified by esports news sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct map total will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Cloud9 or LYON could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game events during the match itself, such as early map wins or dominant performances by individual players, could cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding action. Major upsets or unexpected tactical decisions are likely to move this market.