TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the official game statistics, reflecting how effectively each team moves the ball during the match.
The event resolves based on whether Tampa Bay or Cleveland records specified total offensive yards in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different yardage threshold (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, and 450+) for each team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent, with each threshold representing a separate condition for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into differing perspectives on the game’s potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of participants regarding the total yards for each team.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage for both the Cleveland and Tampa Bay teams will be sourced from official NFL statistics. The market will settle based on the verified total yards achieved by each team during the game, as reported by the NFL. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total yardage range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect ranges will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor passing or rushing offenses, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift expectations. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to perceived information advantages.