TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:23 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the defensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game by measuring how many times each team successfully sacks the opposing quarterback. The outcomes depend on whether specific sack thresholds are met during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by each team during the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all calculations. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges solely on achieving or exceeding predetermined sack thresholds for each team as specified in each individual market.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. Examining these differences can be insightful, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities of an event happening.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of team sacks. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the likely number of sacks in the game. The market allows participants to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the result.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded during the Cleveland versus Tampa Bay game will determine the winning contract. Official game statistics from a reputable sports data source will be used to verify the outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total number of sacks will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team’s defensive line or offensive line would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly those affecting passing or rushing attacks, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or adjustments to game plans could influence traders’ assessments of the likely number of sacks. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment or large trades on Kalshi could also cause noticeable price fluctuations.