TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Tampa Bay will win their game against Cleveland by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of Tampa Bay winning by over 2.5 points is 48.0%, while the probability of Cleveland winning by over 1.5 points is 47.0%. Trading occurs on Kalshi, and the market will resolve based on the final point differential of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, as reported by official game statistics. Keep a close eye on the game itself on September 20, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s outcome.
Each market resolves based on the point differential of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If Tampa Bay wins by exceeding the specified point margin listed in the market title, that market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Cleveland wins by exceeding the specified margin, the corresponding Cleveland market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market price will move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events, as new information emerges and public opinion shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Cleveland versus Tampa Bay spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price represents the market’s probability assessment of the spread being above or below the listed value.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread established during the game will be compared to the market’s spread to determine winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or key player availability are likely to cause price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls and expert analyses, can also play a role, though the market often incorporates information before it becomes widely known. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.