TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball on the ground during an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Tampa Bay. It focuses on whether chosen players reach certain thresholds of rushing attempts, giving fans a way to speculate on their usage in the game plan.
All markets resolve based on whether named players record specified minimum rushing attempts in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds for both Bucky Irving and Quinshon Judkins, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the attempt count being evaluated.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the game's expected play style.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s depth—the volume of contracts available at different price points—indicates the level of confidence in those predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total rushing attempts for the Cleveland versus Tampa Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally, as recorded by official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the range including the actual total rushing attempts will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The market will close prior to the game’s completion to prevent any last-minute influence.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the expected game script. For example, if the weather forecast shifts to heavy rain, it could suggest a greater emphasis on running plays, potentially increasing the total rushing attempts. News regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or team tactics could cause substantial movement in this market.