TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard thresholds. Each market evaluates a different player's ability to surpass various yardage benchmarks during the match. The outcomes reflect both player efficiency and strategic gameplay dynamics.
All markets refer to the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. For each player market, if the specified athlete records the stated receiving yard threshold (e.g., 15+, 25+, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all player and yardage threshold markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prices in this market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as prediction markets aggregate diverse perspectives and respond quickly to new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing potential receiving yard totals, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more traders believe the total receiving yards will be higher, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability that the total receiving yards will fall at or below that level. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving you insight into the order flow and potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently reflect collective beliefs about the outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards total for both teams, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. The market will settle based on the verified official statistics, reflecting the combined receiving yards achieved by all eligible receivers in the Cleveland Browns versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers game. Traders holding contracts that align with the final outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts predicting a different result will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be major catalysts, as their absence would directly impact the expected receiving yardage. Changes in the weather forecast, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift the market, potentially favoring a run-heavy offensive strategy. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or play-calling tendencies could also drive price movements. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the matchup’s likely outcome could impact trading activity and the overall price of this market.