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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 20, 6:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard thresholds for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. It allows participants to speculate on whether the players will meet or exceed certain yardage benchmarks during the match. Outcomes are determined purely by performance metrics without influencing game strategies or results.
All markets resolve based on the total passing yards accumulated by the specified quarterback in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If the named quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to the actual passing yards recorded during the game. All markets are independent thresholds, each requiring the quarterback to surpass a specific yardage total for a 'Yes' outcome. The governing league’s official statistics will be used for verification, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or responsibility for trademark usage.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional methods, though this isn’t always the case. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular yardage range, the price increases, indicating higher confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the Cleveland versus Tampa Bay game. Traders are essentially betting on their forecast of the final passing yards.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards statistic from the Cleveland versus Tampa Bay game, as reported by official NFL sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will reflect the total passing yards achieved by both teams combined during the game. The platform will verify the data and settle the contracts accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the final passing yardage range.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing yardage. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated team strategies could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids in this market.