TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market examines if the Cleveland Browns and Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL match scheduled for September 20, 2026, ends in overtime. A closely matched contest could see both sides trading scores, leading to a tie at the end of regulation and a decisive overtime period.
If the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 goes to overtime, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of overtime. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of overtime. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, analysis, and overall market sentiment surrounding the game and potential for overtime.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Cleveland versus Tampa Bay game officially goes into overtime as determined by the NFL’s official rules. The final score and official game results will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of overtime occurring or not. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly quarterbacks or special teams personnel, could significantly shift expectations. Weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions that might favor a more conservative, field-position-focused game plan could also increase the probability of overtime. Additionally, late-breaking reports on team strategies or coaching decisions, or even public sentiment shifts reflected in betting trends, could all contribute to movement in this market before Sep 20, 2026.