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Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Cleveland vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$49,322

Cleveland wins 3Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Cleveland wins 3Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 3:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cleveland wins 3Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,180
N/A
N/A
$8,944
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins 3Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,854
N/A
N/A
$8,930
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins 3Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,605
N/A
N/A
$4,985
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins 3Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,631
N/A
N/A
$4,337
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins 3Q by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,134
N/A
N/A
$4,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins 3Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,185
N/A
N/A
$2,185
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins 3Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,035
N/A
N/A
$2,035
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins 3Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,307
N/A
N/A
$1,307
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins 3Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,075
N/A
N/A
$1,035
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins 3Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$901
N/A
N/A
$796
Settled
No
kalshi

TB Buccaneers wins 3Q by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
$801
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins 3Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
$312
Settled
No
kalshi

TB Buccaneers wins 3Q by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
$301
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Cleveland or Tampa Bay specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market specifies a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either Tampa Bay or Cleveland to resolve as 'Yes'. If Tampa Bay wins the third quarter by more than the specified margin—ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. Similarly, if Cleveland wins the third quarter by more than the specified margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the respective market resolves to 'Yes'. If the actual margin does not meet or exceed the threshold for a given market, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL 3rd quarter spread tracks the current odds reflecting the expected point difference in the third quarter between Cleveland and Tampa Bay. You'll find a price history showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $49,287. The total volume traded on this market is $49,322. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how others are predicting the outcome of the 3rd quarter spread. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of where the crowd stands on this particular matchup.

Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While sportsbook odds are readily available, this market can offer a unique perspective, potentially identifying discrepancies or incorporating information not fully captured by sportsbooks. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders believe Tampa Bay will cover the spread, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, and changes dynamically with each trade. The market depth shows the volume available at different price points, indicating the strength of conviction among traders.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome determined by the actual point spread achieved in the third quarter of the Cleveland versus Tampa Bay game. The result will be verified against credible public reporting of the game's final score. This means the market will settle based on the official game statistics, confirming whether Tampa Bay wins the 3rd quarter by over 7.5 points, or another outcome occurs. The final score will be the deciding factor for this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the quarterback or key defensive players, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in sentiment and drive price changes in this market.