TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Cleveland or Tampa Bay specifically within the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that must be achieved by the winning team during that quarter alone.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the second quarter of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: Tampa Bay must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, or Cleveland must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points during that quarter. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolving these markets. The outcome is determined exclusively by the score difference at the end of the second quarter, regardless of the final game result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls, as participants have ‘skin in the game’ and are incentivized to be correct in their predictions about the Browns-Buccaneers 2nd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price discovery. The goal is to express a view on the final point difference in the second quarter and profit if your prediction proves accurate.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the second quarter of the Cleveland Browns versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual result of the Browns-Buccaneers 2nd quarter spread.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Browns or the Buccaneers would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any significant news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause price fluctuations as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages regarding the Browns-Buccaneers 2nd quarter spread.