TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity expected in the early part of the match.
These markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by Cleveland and Tampa Bay during the first quarter of their game on September 20, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market features a unique threshold—ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points—and resolves to 'Yes' if the actual total points scored in the first quarter surpass that threshold. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market benefits from the input of many participants. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set the line based on statistical models, this market can incorporate more subjective factors and react quickly to breaking news or changes in team conditions. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular outcome in the Browns-Buccaneers 1st quarter, and reflects the collective forecast of the group.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the first quarter of the Cleveland Browns versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result and their contract payouts shortly after the conclusion of the first quarter, once the data has been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or the Buccaneers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment and cause the price to adjust, reflecting new insights into the potential first-quarter total.