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Cleveland vs Minnesota: Spread
kalshi

What is the spread result of Cleveland vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$820,339

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 11:14 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$351,459
N/A
N/A
$148,517
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$155,574
N/A
N/A
$57,298
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$132,507
N/A
N/A
$42,295
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,125
N/A
N/A
$27,009
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,585
N/A
N/A
$32,228
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,701
N/A
N/A
$24,897
Settled
No
kalshi

Guardians wins by over 4.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,366
N/A
N/A
$5,845
Settled
No
kalshi

Guardians wins by over 5.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,021
N/A
N/A
$1,006
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks the run differential outcome in the Cleveland versus Minnesota professional baseball game, specifically whether either team will win by more than 1.5 runs. On Kalshi, Cleveland winning by over 1.5 runs stands at 16.0%, while Minnesota winning by over 1.5 runs is at 9.0%. The market resolves according to the official result of the game scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. Watch for the final score when the game concludes on July 8, 2026, which will determine the resolution outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final run differential in the Cleveland vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. Minnesota outcomes resolve Yes if Minnesota wins by more than the specified margin (1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs). Cleveland outcomes resolve Yes if Cleveland wins by more than the specified margin (1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs). The run differential is calculated as the absolute difference between the final scores, with the winning team determined by which team scores more runs. Only one team can win by any given margin in a single game.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Cleveland vs Minnesota spread market. You can monitor the current price of each outcome, view the 24-hour volume of $792,415, and observe how trader positions shift as game day approaches. The interface displays historical price movements, allowing you to see how market sentiment has evolved. This live data helps traders identify emerging consensus about the expected point differential between the two teams.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market aggregates the collective forecast of traders who have real money at stake, which can reveal insights that differ from traditional sportsbook spreads. Comparing the two can highlight where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, moving the market price. This continuous auction process ensures that the odds you see represent the most recent consensus among active participants.

This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the game concludes and the final spread is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual point differential between Cleveland and Minnesota at the end of regulation. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution is automatic once the official result is confirmed.

Key catalysts include injury announcements, roster changes, and team performance in games leading up to the matchup. Weather conditions, home-field advantage shifts, and coaching decisions can also influence trader expectations. Breaking news about player availability or team momentum typically triggers sharp price movements. As game day nears, updated betting lines from major sportsbooks and expert analysis often prompt traders to reassess their positions, creating volatility in this market.