TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
Cleveland will compete against Minnesota in a professional baseball match set for September 11, 2026. The event's resolution hinges on whether the contest extends beyond the regular nine-inning format, necessitating extra play.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Cleveland vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to varying information sources and analytical approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a different view than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and increased supply driving them down, ultimately determining the implied probabilities for the Cleveland vs Minnesota game.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cleveland vs Minnesota game, including any extra innings played. The final score and official game statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts significantly impacting the game could cause price movements. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or performance analyses from sports analysts could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public opinion could all contribute to changes in the odds for the Cleveland vs Minnesota game, leading to fluctuations in contract prices.