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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market allows bettors to wager on individual team run totals for both Cleveland and Milwaukee during their June 18, 2026 professional baseball game. Separate thresholds are available for each team's scoring performance.
The Cleveland vs Milwaukee game scheduled for June 18, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT will be evaluated for individual team run totals. Milwaukee outcomes assess whether Milwaukee scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), up through 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Cleveland outcomes similarly assess whether Cleveland scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), up through 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Each threshold is evaluated independently based on the final game score.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and attract different participant bases. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders betting real money on outcomes. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether predictors are more bullish or bearish on a high-scoring game. Comparing the two can reveal where sharp traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen price levels. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability that traders assign to the outcome—a higher price means stronger conviction that the combined team total will hit or exceed a specific threshold. As new information emerges or trading interest shifts, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens, and the mid-market price adjusts accordingly. Your position's value updates in real time as the market reprices.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the Cleveland vs Milwaukee game concludes and the final combined team score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding positions on the correct side of the threshold will receive their payout, while those on the wrong side will see their contracts expire worthless. The exact resolution mechanics are governed by the platform's rules for sports markets.
Several factors can shift this market significantly before Jun 18, 2026. Injury announcements to key players on either roster may alter scoring expectations, as the loss of a star offensive player typically lowers the projected team total. Lineup changes, coaching decisions, or updated weather forecasts for game day can also influence trader sentiment. Breaking news about team form, recent offensive or defensive trends, and public betting action on sportsbooks may cascade into prediction market repricing. As game time approaches, late-breaking roster confirmations and pregame commentary often trigger final adjustments.