TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball event covers run-spread outcomes for the Cleveland Indians versus Milwaukee Brewers game scheduled for June 17, 2026. Bettors predict whether one team will win by a margin exceeding a specific run threshold during the full game.
Resolution is based on the final run differential of the Cleveland vs Milwaukee game originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. Six distinct spread thresholds are offered: Milwaukee winning by more than 3.5 runs, Milwaukee winning by more than 2.5 runs, Milwaukee winning by more than 1.5 runs, Cleveland winning by more than 1.5 runs, Cleveland winning by more than 2.5 runs, and Cleveland winning by more than 3.5 runs. Each threshold constitutes a separate market outcome. The market resolves based on which team wins and by how many runs the victory margin exceeds the specified threshold.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed opening spreads. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and manage risk, while this market aggregates the collective forecast of independent traders. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp money may be moving, though both sources ultimately aim to estimate the true probability of the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing different spread outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the supply and demand from participants, with the bid-ask spread showing the current consensus range. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices update in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the Cleveland versus Milwaukee game concludes and the final spread is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the actual point differential between the two teams at the end of regulation. Once the result is confirmed, all positions settle according to whether the final spread matches the market's prediction.
Key catalysts include injury reports, lineup changes, and recent team performance trends leading up to game day. Weather conditions, home-court advantage shifts, and any late-breaking roster news can also influence trader positioning. Additionally, sharp money flowing into one side, public betting patterns, and updates from sports analysts may trigger price movements as the market continuously reprices based on new information and evolving expectations.