TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two NFL teams in a specific game, focusing on how many touchdowns each team scores. It allows participants to predict whether a team will reach certain scoring milestones based on touching the ball into the opponent's end zone during the match.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around the number of touchdowns scored by each team in the Cleveland vs. Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific touchdown threshold for either team, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of game timing disruptions. The outcome hinges solely on official game statistics regarding touchdowns scored by each team.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Often, you’ll find that prediction market prices are more responsive to new information and can sometimes be more accurate than initial sportsbook offerings, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, providing a common benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible result. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements based on new information and their own analysis of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official number of touchdowns scored by each team during the game. The final result will be determined by reviewing official game statistics and verified by sources covering the NFL. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual number of touchdowns scored by each team, as recorded in the official game results.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cleveland or Jacksonville teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing or running, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could affect trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.