TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team's defense can tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specified thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team in the Cleveland vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Sacks are counted only during standard play; those occurring during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for the number of sacks a team must achieve for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. Thresholds range from 2 to 6 sacks for each team, with separate markets for each threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, impacting the implied probability. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market adjusts dynamically as new information emerges and traders react to it. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the influence of public perception, so comparing the two can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing each outcome – in this case, the number of sacks for each team. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate diverse perspectives and arrive at a collective prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team sack totals are verifiable from credible public reporting following the game’s completion. The resolution will be based on the official statistics recorded by the NFL. The market will determine which outcome – Jacksonville achieving 5+ sacks or Cleveland achieving 5+ sacks – aligns with the verified results. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding the losing contract will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key offensive linemen on either team would be significant, as they directly impact the ability of each team to protect their quarterback. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing plays and, consequently, sack opportunities. Major news regarding coaching strategies or defensive schemes could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or team morale could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and price fluctuations.