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400,720
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 13, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether a specific player accumulates certain thresholds of combined rushing and receiving yards in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Jacksonville. The outcomes depend on the player's performance during the game, with specific yardage targets determining the result.
The markets evaluate whether Quinshon Judkins achieves specified cumulative yardage thresholds (70+, 95+, and 120+) through both rushing and receiving in the Cleveland vs. Jacksonville game scheduled for September 13, 2026. If Judkins is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Judkins takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total rushing and receiving yards he records during the game. All markets are independent, each corresponding to a different yardage threshold, and each resolves to 'Yes' only if Judkins meets or exceeds its respective target. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, than sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final yardage total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the total will be high, the price of contracts representing higher yardage increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage total, combining the rushing and receiving yards for both the Cleveland Browns and the Jacksonville Jaguars, will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to the nearest whole number, representing the total yards gained during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct yardage range will receive a payout based on the market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Browns or Jaguars, particularly running backs and wide receivers, would be major catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact the teams’ offensive strategies and yardage totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in game plans could also move the market. Finally, any news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and price fluctuations.