TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Jacksonville. Each market focuses on whether a player reaches a particular reception threshold, allowing participants to bet on individual player performance.
All markets resolve based on the official game statistics for receptions recorded by specified players in the Cleveland vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual number of receptions recorded. These rules apply uniformly across all reception threshold markets for each listed player.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from sportsbook odds due to differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Keep in mind that prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of factors than traditional sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract increases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the game’s potential reception leaders.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of receptions for each player will be tallied from official sources, and the market will settle based on those official numbers. The contracts will pay out to those who correctly predicted the reception totals, based on the final, verified statistics. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a run-heavy game, could also impact expectations for passing volume and therefore receptions. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or matchups could lead to traders adjusting their positions, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential movements in this market.