TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 13, 2:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to score 21 points in an upcoming professional football game. It considers scenarios where either team reaches the target score first or if neither team achieves it within the game's duration. The outcome depends purely on the scoring progression during the match.
The event determines whether Cleveland or Jacksonville will be the first to score 21 points in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, or if neither team reaches that threshold. Each market corresponds to one of these three possible outcomes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The resolution considers the full game length, including any overtime periods.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analysts’ predictions, as they aggregate a diverse range of perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison when evaluating this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team reaching 21 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment. The current market prices are determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Cleveland or Jacksonville—reached 21 points first during the game. The final score will be verified against official game statistics to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the team that reaches 21 points first will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in the projected weather conditions for the game could also shift expectations, as inclement weather can affect scoring. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could influence trading volume and prices in this market.