TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of passing completions made by Deshaun Watson during a specific football game between Cleveland and Jacksonville. Each market has a different threshold for completions, determining whether the outcome meets or exceeds that threshold.
All markets evaluate Deshaun Watson's passing completions in the Cleveland vs Jacksonville game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold (ranging from 13 to 23 completions) that must be met or exceeded for the market to resolve to 'Yes.' If Watson is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once Watson takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the specific threshold being observed.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate belief of informed traders. You may find that the implied probability of an outcome in this market differs from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges. Polls and analyses of the game often forecast a range of possible completion totals, and this market provides a real-time, financially-driven alternative to those predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different numbers of passing completions. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and inaccurate ones result in losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of the event occurring.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions in the game will be sourced from official NFL statistics. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual number of completions falls above or below the contract’s strike price. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or rain, could also affect passing game strategies and completion rates. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team matchups or player performance could drive trading activity and price fluctuations.