TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of passing attempts made by Deshaun Watson in a specific football game between Cleveland and Jacksonville. Each market has a different threshold for the number of attempts required for resolution, allowing participants to bet on varying levels of offensive activity by the quarterback.
All markets resolve based on whether Deshaun Watson records a specified minimum number of passing attempts (ranging from 26 to 36) in the Cleveland vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If Watson is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once Watson takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the markets resolve strictly according to the actual passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation for each market's outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, whereas this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially moving ahead of sportsbook lines in reflecting true probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final passing attempt total from the Cleveland versus Jacksonville game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders should monitor official NFL sources for the final result to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions like heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing volume. Late-breaking reports on team strategies or play-calling tendencies could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could contribute to price fluctuations.