TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:14 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which Jacksonville player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Cleveland. Each market is tied to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by the game's early scoring events.
Each market resolves to Yes only if the specified Jacksonville player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair pre-game price. Once the player takes a snap, the market outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Jacksonville touchdowns are scored, all player-specific markets resolve to No, and the No Jacksonville Touchdown market resolves to Yes. These rules apply uniformly across all player and unit markets for this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of the perceived probabilities. The market operates on a 0 to 100 cents scale, where 100 cents represents a 100% probability of the outcome occurring, and lower values indicate decreasing probability.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown in the game between Cleveland and Jacksonville, as recorded by official game statistics. The outcome will be determined by the official game results and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts accordingly to those who correctly predicted the first player to score.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for Jacksonville, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if inclement weather is predicted, could also influence the market, as it might affect the passing or running game. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could move the market. Finally, significant betting activity itself – a large influx of volume on a particular player – can also cause the odds to shift on Kalshi.