TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting how many points each team will score in the first half of an upcoming football game. Bettors can choose specific point thresholds to wager on whether a team will exceed that number in the first half.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by each team in the first half of the Cleveland vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold for each team; if the specified team scores more than the stated threshold in the first half, the market resolves to Yes. The thresholds vary from 2.5 to 30.5 points for both teams, allowing for a range of betting options depending on expected scoring levels. All markets are independent, and each resolves solely based on whether the respective team's first-half performance meets or exceeds its individual threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that prediction markets often incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding breaking news or late-developing insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the event occurring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% probability. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all traders on the platform regarding the likelihood of the first half team total exceeding the specified value. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half team total is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics provided by the league, and will determine whether the team total was higher or lower than the threshold implied by the market price at the time of closure. The final price will reflect the probability of the outcome as determined by traders on Kalshi leading up to the event’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jaguars or the Browns would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could also cause fluctuations. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift prices, even without external news events.