TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of first-half and full-game outcomes in an upcoming football match. Each market requires both the first-half result and the final game result to match the specified conditions for a positive resolution. The outcomes consider all possible scenarios, including ties in the first half and different winners for the full game.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of both the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Cleveland vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. For any market to resolve to 'Yes,' both the first-half result and the full-game result must exactly match the conditions specified in that market's title. If either the first-half or full-game result does not align with the market's requirements, it resolves to 'No.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all markets listed, ensuring consistency in resolution criteria.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction market and sportsbook odds will adjust. However, prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event, as traders continuously update their beliefs based on new data. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities converge towards the actual outcome as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity determine the price movements, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism. Traders are essentially betting on their predictions, and their collective actions determine the odds.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual result of the Cleveland versus Jacksonville game, specifically the first half and fulltime result as determined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Cleveland or Jacksonville teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and shift trader sentiment. Major coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the game’s outcome could influence trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.