TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which Cleveland player or unit will score the team's first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Jacksonville. It covers various offensive players and the defensive unit, providing a focused look at early-game scoring potential for Cleveland.
These markets determine whether a specified Cleveland player or the Cleveland defensive unit scores the first touchdown of the game against Jacksonville. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the designated participant achieves this first touchdown. If the participant is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a snap occurs—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome depends solely on whether that participant scores the first Cleveland touchdown. If Cleveland fails to score any touchdowns during the game, all player and unit markets resolve to 'No', and the 'No Cleveland Touchdown' market resolves to 'Yes'. This structure ensures markets are resolved based on actual game events while accounting for player availability and snap participation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy a contract for a particular player to score first, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on collective sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown of the game, as recorded by official game statistics. The platform will verify this information against trusted sports data providers to determine the winning contract and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the game results to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for Cleveland, would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or wind, could also influence the expected game plan and affect which players are favored to score. Major coaching decisions or adjustments to offensive strategies announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations could lead to substantial price fluctuations on Kalshi.