TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 9:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual team run production in the Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros game on June 20, 2026. Bettors predict whether each team will score above specific run thresholds independently.
The Cleveland vs Houston game scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT will be evaluated for individual team run totals. Houston's scoring is assessed against thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 runs, while Cleveland's scoring is assessed against the same thresholds. Each team's performance is evaluated independently, with resolution based on whether the final official run total for that team exceeds the specified threshold. This allows bettors to wager separately on each team's offensive output.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs across many participants. This market may price team totals differently than major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or trading volume shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs, though prediction markets and sportsbooks serve different purposes and operate under distinct rules.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers set the odds directly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders submit limit and market orders, and the platform executes trades at the best available price. The implied probability of each outcome is derived from the current bid-ask midpoint, updating in real time as new orders arrive. This mechanism ensures transparent price discovery and allows you to enter or exit positions at any moment before the market closes, with no intermediary setting artificial spreads.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the Cleveland vs Houston game concludes and the final team totals are confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Until that point, you can trade freely, and your position will be settled based on the actual combined points scored by both teams. Early exit is always an option if you wish to lock in gains or cut losses before the final whistle.
Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, lineup changes, or coaching decisions that affect offensive or defensive output. Weather conditions on game day, travel delays, or rest patterns can shift scoring expectations. Breaking news about team form, recent performance trends, or head-to-head matchup history often triggers repricing. Late-breaking betting action from sharp bettors or sudden shifts in public sentiment can also move odds significantly. Monitoring team news, injury reports, and pre-game commentary will help you anticipate market moves before they happen.