TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The resolution will be based on whether the contest involving Cleveland and Detroit, planned for August 11, concludes with an extra-inning period triggered by an unresolved tie after the initial nine innings.
If Cleveland and Detroit go to extra innings in the Cleveland vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because traders can directly bet on the probability of an outcome. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on a broader range of factors and public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants express nuanced views. This can lead to tighter odds or larger divergences, especially as new information emerges about team performance or game conditions that might affect extra innings probabilities.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the Cleveland vs Detroit game goes beyond the standard regulation time, as officially recorded by the league. Once the game concludes, the market settles based on this verified result, closing all positions and determining final payouts for participants.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key factors include starting pitcher announcements, injury reports for star players, weather forecasts affecting game length, and recent team performance in close games. Any update that changes the perceived balance between the two teams — such as a sudden surge in batting averages or pitching rotations — may cause traders to adjust their bets, moving the odds toward or away from extra innings.