TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts individual team run totals for Cleveland and Chicago White Sox in their June 23, 2026 game, with separate thresholds for each team ranging from over 1.5 to over 7.5 runs.
The market resolves based on the individual run totals scored by each team during the full game. Chicago WS outcomes resolve to Yes if Chicago WS's final run total exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., Over 1.5 means Chicago WS scores 2+ runs). Cleveland outcomes resolve to Yes if Cleveland's final run total exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., Over 1.5 means Cleveland scores 2+ runs). Each team's performance is evaluated independently against its corresponding thresholds.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow, trader sophistication, and liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value that traditional oddsmakers may have missed or mispriced.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal cost of the last trade, meaning active buying pushes odds higher while selling pressure lowers them. Traders can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, and the platform matches buyers and sellers in real time, creating a transparent price discovery process that adjusts instantly as new information or sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the World Series concludes and the final team statistics are verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual performance metrics recorded during the event, confirmed through official league reporting and sports data providers. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as the series unfolds and new developments influence expectations about the final result.
Key injuries, roster changes, or lineup announcements for either team could significantly shift trader sentiment and prices in this market. Performance in playoff games leading up to the World Series, weather conditions, and home-field advantage considerations also influence expectations. Media narratives, expert analysis, and betting trends from sportsbooks may trigger repositioning among traders. Real-time game developments during the series itself—momentum swings, unexpected performances, or strategic adjustments—will drive continuous price adjustments as the outcome becomes clearer.