TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Cleveland vs Chicago: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Cleveland vs Chicago?

Volume:
$3,815

Chicago wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

 - Kalshi

Chicago wins 4Q by over 7.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 4:08 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chicago wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$140
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
$154
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cleveland wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$784
N/A
N/A
$784
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$665
N/A
N/A
$658
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the performance of Chicago and Cleveland specifically in the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market assesses different point-spread thresholds to determine which team dominates the last quarter of play.

Kalshi

These markets evaluate whether Chicago or Cleveland wins the fourth quarter by exceeding specific point differentials. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation time, with overtime points excluded from calculation. Each rule defines a distinct threshold—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—for either team to win the quarter by. If the winning team exceeds the specified margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The outcomes are binary, reflecting whether the actual point differential meets or fails to meet each threshold condition.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect sharper, community-driven insights compared to traditional sportsbook lines, which incorporate broader public betting patterns and house margins. While sportsbooks may set spreads based on historical data and broader market trends, prediction markets allow for rapid adjustments driven by real-time trader activity and in-game developments. This can create notable differences in implied probabilities, especially as the game progresses and new information emerges.

This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential from the last quarter will be compared against the market’s defined spread to determine the winning side. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded game statistics, ensuring a clear and objective resolution process.

Key moments such as star player performance, coaching strategies, injuries, and momentum swings can all impact this market. A dominant run by either team, key turnovers, or changes in referee calls may cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment. Additionally, broader narrative developments — like media coverage highlighting strategic advantages — can influence perceptions of likely outcomes, driving volume and price adjustments as the game unfolds toward its conclusion.