TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the performance of Chicago and Cleveland specifically in the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market assesses different point-spread thresholds to determine which team dominates the last quarter of play.
These markets evaluate whether Chicago or Cleveland wins the fourth quarter by exceeding specific point differentials. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation time, with overtime points excluded from calculation. Each rule defines a distinct threshold—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—for either team to win the quarter by. If the winning team exceeds the specified margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The outcomes are binary, reflecting whether the actual point differential meets or fails to meet each threshold condition.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential from the last quarter will be compared against the market’s defined spread to determine the winning side. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded game statistics, ensuring a clear and objective resolution process.
Key moments such as star player performance, coaching strategies, injuries, and momentum swings can all impact this market. A dominant run by either team, key turnovers, or changes in referee calls may cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment. Additionally, broader narrative developments — like media coverage highlighting strategic advantages — can influence perceptions of likely outcomes, driving volume and price adjustments as the game unfolds toward its conclusion.