TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 9:15 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for a specific date and time. The outcome depends on whether the game extends beyond the standard nine innings. This situation typically occurs when the score is tied after the initial regulation period, leading to additional play until a winner is determined.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Cleveland vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the probability of extra innings. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Analyzing both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of the Cleveland vs Boston game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of extra innings in the Cleveland vs Boston game, and the price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe extra innings are likely, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the evolving expectations of participants, creating a real-time forecast of the event’s outcome. The current price represents the market’s consensus probability.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether extra innings are officially played in the Cleveland vs Boston game. Official game records and reporting from major sports news outlets will be used to determine if the game went beyond the standard nine innings. The market will then settle based on whether extra innings occurred, with payouts distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding potential pitching changes, weather forecasts predicting game delays, or injuries to key players on either the Cleveland or Boston teams could all shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about stadium conditions or rule changes could also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in social media or sports news, can impact trading volume and price movements leading up to the game’s completion. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in this market.