TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 9:50 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Cleveland vs Boston matchup set for September 23, competitors will face off over the full nine-inning regulation time. Should the teams be level after this standard duration, play will extend beyond the ninth inning until one team secures a decisive lead.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Cleveland vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially uncovering information not fully captured by traditional methods. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, weather conditions, or even less quantifiable factors. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate new information more rapidly than sportsbooks, leading to dynamic shifts in pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of extra innings occurring in the Cleveland vs Boston game. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of extra innings. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to new information and trading activity. This creates a real-time probability assessment driven by user interaction.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether extra innings are officially played in the Cleveland vs Boston game. Official game records and reporting from recognized sports news sources will be used to determine if the game extended beyond the standard nine innings. The final result will be based on the official game outcome as reported by these sources, and the market will settle accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding potential pitching changes for either the Cleveland or Boston teams could shift expectations, as starting pitchers heavily influence game length. Weather forecasts are also crucial; rain delays or unfavorable conditions could increase the likelihood of a prolonged game. Unexpected injuries to key players or late-breaking news about team strategies could also cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the game's potential duration will likely move the market.