TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Youngstown State Penguins (W)
Volume:
$169,879
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Cleveland State Vikings and Youngstown State Penguins scheduled for March 9, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi employs a dual-Yes binary resolution where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, while Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution where each outcome resolves to the winning team's name. This structural difference does not prevent resolution but creates incompatible settlement schemas.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets will settle identically. Kalshi's unusual dual-Yes structure may indicate a drafting issue—confirm the intended behavior with Kalshi support before placing large positions. Polymarket's categorical approach is standard and unambiguous. Treat cancellation/postponement rules separately: Polymarket holds open on postponement and splits 50-50 on full cancellation; Kalshi's cancellation logic is not specified.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Dual-Yes binary structure where both Cleveland St. win and Youngstown St. win resolve to Yes. No explicit cancellation or postponement guidance provided. Quote: 'If Youngstown St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: Cleveland State Vikings win resolves to 'Cleveland State Vikings'; Youngstown State Penguins win resolves to 'Youngstown State Penguins'. Postponement keeps market open; full cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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