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Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
opinion
polymarket

Who will win Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins?

Volume:
$295,813

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

 - Polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 5:44 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$972
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
89%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
92%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 22

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a single MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and the Minnesota Twins on September 12, 2026. The primary question is which team will win the game, with additional markets focused on whether a run will be scored in the first inning.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on the official MLB final score to determine the winner and handling postponements, cancellations, and ties consistently.Primary resolution logic: https://www.mlb.com/

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Cleveland Guardians' if they win the game.
  • The market resolves to 'Minnesota Twins' if they win the game.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: The market will remain open until the postponed game is completed. Check MLB.com for makeup game schedules.
  • Cancellation/Tie: If the game is canceled with no makeup game or officially ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the official final score is published on MLB.com following the completion of the game, including any extra innings.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 12 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-12 00:10 UTC: If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the Minnesota Twins win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. However, sportsbooks may offer more favorable pricing on certain outcomes to attract bets, while this market reflects the collective judgment of informed traders. The spread between the two can sometimes be significant, offering arbitrage opportunities.

Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Opinion for the Guardians-Twins game may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts different traders with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing interpretations of the likely outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can amplify price movements. Furthermore, the specific question asked on each platform might not be identical, even if broadly related to the game's result. These differences in user base, information, volume, and question framing can all contribute to price discrepancies.