TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 4:35 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for July 9 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for July 9 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many independent participants, which can sometimes identify value that traditional oddsmakers miss. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential opportunities for informed bettors.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for outcome shares. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects supply and demand; as more traders buy shares predicting a Cleveland victory, the price rises and the implied probability increases. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to breaking news, betting patterns, and real-world developments leading up to game time.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the game concludes and the final result is verified. The outcome is determined by which team wins the matchup, confirmed against credible public sources such as official league records or major sports news outlets. Early resolution may occur if the game is cancelled or postponed under circumstances that trigger predetermined resolution rules. Traders should monitor any official announcements from Major League Baseball regarding scheduling changes or other factors that could affect the market's settlement.
Key catalysts include roster updates such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or trades affecting either team's depth. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed, temperature, and precipitation—can significantly impact offensive and defensive performance. Recent team form, head-to-head matchup history, and bullpen availability are also closely watched. Additionally, betting action and sharp money flowing into one side can trigger momentum shifts. Any last-minute coaching decisions or unexpected roster moves announced before first pitch will likely spark sharp trading and repricing across this market.