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$134.1b

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2,388,728,490

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406,065

Markets across

30,522

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
predict
polymarket

Who will win Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins?

Volume:
$642,814

O/U 8.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 8.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 7:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$586,813
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

View
N/A
N/A
—
$830
$2,379
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$903
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 13.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event group covers an MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins scheduled for July 7-8, 2024. Markets span both the match winner outcome and a first-inning run-scoring prop, with resolution tied to official MLB statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Game date/time divergence between platforms (July 7 vs July 8, both 7:40PM ET). Both markets reference the same teams but may be settling on different games if a postponement or doubleheader occurs.Hero tip: Cross-check the official MLB schedule for Guardians vs Twins in early July 2024. If only one game is scheduled, the mismatched platform faces settlement ambiguity. If multiple games exist, confirm which specific game each market intends to cover before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Match winner market scheduled July 7 at 7:40PM ET. Resolves to Cleveland Guardians or Minnesota Twins based on final game result. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • Polymarket: Match winner market scheduled July 8 at 7:40PM ET (one day later). Identical resolution logic: team name if that team wins, 50-50 if canceled/no makeup/tie. Also offers separate first-inning run prop (Yes/No) on same July 8 date. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for July 8 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for July 7 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price games differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief—there's no house edge, only peer-to-peer wagering. This market aggregates multiple prediction platforms, which often move faster than sportsbooks on breaking news or sharp money. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities, especially in the hours before kickoff when one venue may lag behind the other.

Polymarket and Predict can show different probabilities for the same game due to variations in liquidity, user base composition, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Smaller or newer platforms may have thinner order books, allowing large trades to move prices more sharply. Geographic and demographic differences in trader populations can also create persistent gaps—one platform may attract more sharp bettors while another draws casual players. Arbitrage traders often exploit these spreads, but temporary divergences remain common, especially during low-volume periods or when one platform updates faster than the other.

Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, bullpen availability, recent team form, and weather conditions on game day. Lineup changes, trades, or roster moves closer to first pitch can shift trader conviction significantly. Betting market activity and sharp money flowing into one side often signals informed positioning and can trigger rapid repricing. Breaking news about player health, umpire assignments, or field conditions in the hours before the game typically generates the most volatile price swings. Monitor team news feeds and social media for real-time updates that could reshape the implied odds.