TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 4:40 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Miami Marlins, scheduled for July 12 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Miami Marlins, scheduled for July 12 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders with real money at stake. This market may show a different implied probability than traditional sportsbooks, particularly if informed traders spot value or if public sentiment on one platform differs from the other. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where contrarian opportunities may exist.
On Predict, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders directly buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of all active traders; as new information arrives or sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust in real time. Higher trading volume typically narrows the spread between buy and sell prices, making execution more efficient for participants entering or exiting positions.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the game concludes and the final result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the matchup; the market will settle based on the confirmed result reported by official sports data providers. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate with breaking news, injury reports, and other game-day developments.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and weather conditions on game day. Trades, suspensions, or unexpected lineup adjustments can shift implied probabilities significantly. Momentum from recent wins or losses, starting pitcher or player matchups, and betting action from sharp money can all influence trader sentiment. Breaking news hours before first pitch—such as a star player being ruled out—often triggers sharp repricing as informed traders react faster than casual bettors.