TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals?

Volume:
$3,764,251

Cleveland

 - Kalshi

Cleveland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 11:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cleveland

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,379,919
N/A
N/A
$637,584
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$398,065
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 5h 35m
Yes
predict

Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals

View
99%
43%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$10,213
$86,522
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43,097
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30,134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,931
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 5h 35m
Yes
polymarket

O/U 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 17.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas City

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,713,779
N/A
N/A
$957,410
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 42

Intro

This market tracks the over/under of 19.5 runs in the Cleveland Guardians versus Kansas City Royals baseball game. Currently, the consensus probability of Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 19.5 is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official results reported at https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 25th, as the outcome will determine resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lacks explicit tie/cancellation resolution, differing from Polymarket/Predict's 50-50 split.Hero tip: Consider the probability of a tie or cancellation, as Kalshi's market may not resolve in the same way as Polymarket/Predict in those scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the game winner, with a 50-50 split for ties or cancellations. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins, without explicitly addressing ties or cancellations. "If Cleveland wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas City wins... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 25 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas City wins the Cleveland vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 25 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates predictions about the Guardians vs. Royals game from multiple platforms, currently Polymarket and Predict. It provides a consensus view of the likely outcome, reflecting the combined volume of $3,764,251 and 24-hour volume of $3,744,179. This allows you to see how traders across different venues are pricing the same event. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will there be a run scored in the first inning? at 96, while Predict leans toward Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at n/a. This dashboard helps you understand the overall market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets and may have different margins built into their odds. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the potential outcomes for the Guardians vs. Royals game.