TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:07 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-26 23:10 UTC: If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the Kansas City Royals win, the market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-26 23:10 UTC: If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the Kansas City Royals win, the market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available and public sentiment evolves, the odds here can diverge from, or converge with, those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, particularly as the event draws nearer and more participants contribute to the pricing. This difference can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange contracts, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. Demand for a particular outcome drives its price higher, indicating increased confidence in that result, while selling pressure lowers the price. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Guardians vs Royals game, as officially recorded, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process relies on widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Once the game concludes and the results are confirmed, the market will settle, and winning contracts will be paid out accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Guardians or the Royals would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they affect playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Unexpected lineup announcements or managerial decisions might also cause movement. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can influence trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.