TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 12:16 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory in the third quarter of an upcoming college football game. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will outscore the other by a specific point difference during that quarter, allowing for detailed analysis of in-game performance rather than overall results.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the Clemson vs LSU college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the designated point margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points, depending on the market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The contests are independent of overall game outcomes, focusing exclusively on third-quarter performance.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value opportunities, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, reflecting a growing belief that the spread will hold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market on Kalshi is for Clemson to win the 3rd quarter by over 2.5 points, though probabilities can shift rapidly based on trading activity and new information.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Clemson vs LSU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the spread. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how their contracts will be settled.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, in-game performance during the first and second quarters could influence traders’ expectations for the third, leading to adjustments in the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant momentum swings could also contribute to price movement.