TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 1:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Clemson and California. It focuses exclusively on the performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on who leads the scoring chart in that specific quarter.
If California wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Clemson vs California college football game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clemson wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Clemson vs California college football game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Clemson vs California college football game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, particularly when public perception diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of potential outcomes for the Clemson vs California game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—either Clemson wins the 4th quarter or California wins the 4th quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective forecast. The closer we get to the game, the more the prices will likely converge towards the true probability of each team winning the final quarter, based on available information.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official game results will be used to determine which team won the 4th quarter of the Clemson vs California matchup. The final score of the 4th quarter will be the determining factor, and the outcome will be reported based on official sources. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Clemson or California would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team performance during the game itself, such as a dominant start to the 3rd quarter, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements could also play a role. Public sentiment and media coverage leading up to and during the game will also contribute to how this market evolves, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.