TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 1:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the third quarter in an upcoming college football game between Clemson and California. Each market corresponds to different point spreads that either team must achieve to satisfy the condition.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the third quarter of the Clemson vs California college football game scheduled for September 25, 2026. For any market to resolve to 'Yes,' the specified team must win the third quarter by more than the stated point spread (e.g., California by over 10.5 points, Clemson by over 2.5 points). Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news. Polls and analysts' predictions can also vary, and comparing those to the current price on Kalshi can provide a broader perspective on expectations for the Clemson vs California game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Clemson vs California spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are determined by supply and demand; if more people believe Clemson will cover the spread, the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third quarter spread of the Clemson vs California game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts aligned with the actual spread at the end of the third quarter. The final spread will be the determining factor for payouts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Clemson or California teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and shift the price, reflecting changing sentiment among traders.