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OPEN INTEREST:
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400,720
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 26, 12:18 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score more points in a specific quarter of an upcoming college football game between Clemson and California. The outcome depends solely on the performance during the second quarter, regardless of the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points in the second quarter of the Clemson vs California college football game scheduled for September 25, 2026. If California scores more points in that quarter, the 'California wins 2nd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Clemson scores more points, the 'Clemson wins 2nd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie 2nd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the second quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds to guarantee a profit, which can skew the implied probabilities. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on public perception and team statistics, this market allows for dynamic adjustments as new information emerges and traders react to it. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Clemson winning the 2nd quarter or California winning the 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each team winning the second quarter. The higher the price, the more likely the market believes that outcome is to happen.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 2nd quarter of the Clemson vs California game will be declared the winner of this market. Resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the results and distribute payouts to contract holders accordingly, based on the final score and the contracts purchased.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Clemson or California would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any significant shifts in public sentiment – perhaps reflected in betting trends at sportsbooks – could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts within this market. Game day developments, such as early scoring drives, will also be key catalysts.