TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 1:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second half of a college football game between Clemson and California. Each market evaluates whether a team secures a win by a specific point margin during that half, allowing for detailed analysis of potential performance differences.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the designated Clemson vs California college football game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins that half by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis from a wide range of sources. This can sometimes lead to differences compared to sportsbook odds, which may be more influenced by factors like public betting patterns or the sportsbook’s own risk management strategies. While sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own assessment of the game’s likely outcome, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Clemson will cover a certain spread, the price of contracts representing that spread will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second half of the Clemson vs California football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of college football. The final score differential will be compared to the various spread contracts available on Kalshi to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout of $1.00 per contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries to key players on either Clemson or California would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could impact trader sentiment. Public perception, driven by analyst predictions and media coverage, can also play a role in shaping the market’s direction as the game approaches.