TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 5:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the professional tennis match between Clement Tabur and Hendrik Jebens scheduled for July 12, 2026, in the ATP Gstaad Qualification Round 1. Bettors predict the exact final set score of the match.
The market resolves based on the final set score of the Clement Tabur vs Hendrik Jebens professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Gstaad Qualification Round 1. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are resolved to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders wagering real money on their beliefs about the outcome. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, sometimes offering sharper odds than traditional books. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or disagreement on the exact score outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order matching, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks on the exact score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last executed trade and the current spread between buy and sell orders. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the market reprices in real time. Deeper order books and higher volume typically result in tighter spreads and more stable pricing for this matchup.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before Jul 12, 2026. Injury reports, roster changes, or recent form updates for either competitor may trigger repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of specific score outcomes. Public betting trends and sharp money flowing into particular outcomes can also move odds. Media coverage, expert predictions, and any official announcements about conditions or format changes will influence trader positioning. Close to the event date, late-breaking news or injury confirmations often create the largest price swings in exact-score markets.